2021.12.04 16:47 GoldPhos [Q] Trying to find the average number of games you would have to play in order to earn at least 40 points, assuming wins award 5 points and losses award 2
Here is a simple Excel sheet I made to show the problem. Note that "winrate" is the chance to win on any single game, not the overall winrate after getting 40 points.
In the picture, I've shown what I believe to be all the different combinations of wins and losses that would get you to at least 40 points. Note that for scenarios like 1W/19L and 1W/18L, both are valid possibilities due to the timing of the single won game. For example, you can lose 19 games in a row to get 38 points, then win one to get 43 points. Alternatively, if you win a single game early on, then you would only need 18 losses to get you above the 40 point threshold.
This brings me to my question: How would I find the relative odds that each of these scenarios happens? My guess is that for each of the 19 scenarios shown in the picture, I would do (winrate)wins * (1 - winrate)losses to get the chance of getting that particular combination of wins and losses, then multiply this value by the number of possible permutations. However I'm not sure how to calculate the number of permutations in this kind of problem, or if this would even be the right course of action.
Once I found the relative probability for each scenario, I would multiply each of these probabilities by the number of games played in that scenario. Then I would sum all of these numbers to hopefully get the average number of games needed to get 40 points.
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2021.12.04 16:47 emadbably 20 How Are You in French?
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2021.12.04 16:47 Giantcockinspector Everytime
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2021.12.04 16:47 Dependent-Chart2735 Anyone got the hookup on these boots NCT 127’s Yuta/Johnny are wearing?
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2021.12.04 16:47 Different_Post don't know where else to put this
the thing is, I have no recollection of what I dreamed. I woke up at 4 am completely unable to breathe, gasping, and extremely sweaty. I kept hearing the term asphyxia in my head and I've never heard the term in my life before. I didn't think too much of it, I drank water and went back to bed. I woke up again at 9 and the term was still in my head so I googled it. Now I'm spooked. I just keep thinking about what could've happened if I wasn't literally PUSHED to wake up. I feel kinda traumatized and idk who to tell.
Sorry if this post violates the rules, it's my first post here.
For some background info: I've lately been sleeping really wack because it's finals season and ALL my dreams have been extremely stressful so that's the only thing I can correlate to last night's event.
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2021.12.04 16:47 Ivyspine 9:45
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2021.12.04 16:47 phloremdream Can someone help with a skirt x shirt combo I want the 5 stars prize so bad
2021.12.04 16:47 anwarbenchaib I'm a videographer filming professional fighters. AMA
2021.12.04 16:47 demi181 SD wanted, 22, UK🇬🇧
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2021.12.04 16:47 Rokeree Shan hai scrolls Neeko
I don't know if it's just me but, when i use Shan hai scrolls skin the Q sound is broken. It happends when you throw Q and doesn't kill anything on first or second pop, than it makes some earrape sound.
I wrote a ticket on support but, from my experience that doesn't matter at all (i wrote a ticket about broken sound on Akali prestige skin but it's not fixed till this day)
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2021.12.04 16:47 emadbably What Are Pronouns in English Grammar | What Are Pronouns | Pronouns in English (Class 4th to 8th)
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2021.12.04 16:47 iamakaren23 What do you think of participation trophies as a parent?
Today, my child finished their football season. Everyone was given a participation trophy, but my spouse disagreed, took the trophy, and said it wasn’t earned. The argument made was that participation trophies cause kids to become entitled and complacent, and they should be earned through consistent success. My child was understanding, but other parents murmured when the trophy went in the garbage. What do y’all think?
Child is 9 BTW
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2021.12.04 16:47 svanapps Crypto crash fears intensify as most major cryptocurrencies are in free fall and Bitcoin drops by US$9,000 in just one hour
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2021.12.04 16:47 OGLDEV Skeletal Animation tutorial - Part 1
I've started a short mini series on implementing Skeletal Animation in OpenGL using Assimp.
Part 1 is available at https://youtu.be/r6Yv_mh79PI.
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2021.12.04 16:47 Tall-Seaworthiness62 Ain't no way this is a thing.
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2021.12.04 16:47 Albert_The_First Hiding and stuff
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2021.12.04 16:47 Conan__The_Librarian Are black females the right fit for beta white males who are looking for guidance and dominance?
2021.12.04 16:47 Furleymuffin Help me on my sweatpant quest
I’m new to LLL and have been on a personal quest to find the softest, most comfortable sweats that still look nice and figured LLL had to be the place to start.
To be completely honest, I have been pretty disappointed in lulu pants. From a comfort/look ratio perspective, they are average at best and made of surprisingly burlap-y, scratchy materials for the most part. I’m sure they are great for CrossFit or working on a plane, but that’s not what I’m looking for. I am also not really going for style, so much as comfort. We’re talking an 80/20 split. I also have an unlimited (within reason) budget. With all that in mind, it ruled out any of the pants besides city sweats, at ease, or engineered warmth.
I bought a pair of WMTM city sweats two months ago and I have already donated them to Goodwill due to two fairly large holes I had to fix (not sure how they happened but I only wore them around the house a few times). I also found them very thin and not warm, which is an issue where I live.
Not to be deterred from my goal of spending an irresponsible amount of money on sweatpants, I went to our local LLL store and not only was the selection really picked over (no sizes in the few styles they did have - and this store is new and MASSIVE), I was pretty surprised at how the at ease and engineered warmth stuff felt.
The at ease looked like it was going to be amazing from afar, but I very much disliked the weird dark grey liner or whatever you’d call the inside. It made them feel very technical and not at all cozy. The outside looks so cool and comfy, then they lined it workout material and it just seems like such a weird choice. Why not some brushed cotton or something? (Note: I know nothing about clothes).
Engineered warmth were ok, but for $150, I wasn’t super impressed with the interior softness. It was like a really nice sweater material but that’s not a super selling point of sweatpants to me, which is a personal preference I guess.
Unnecessarily (and so first world problem-y), I moped and wandered through the womenswear section, which was obviously 8 times as big, but to my dismay, they had some of the most perfect, soft, warm, cozy (but still attractive) sweats I’ve ever felt in my life. As I felt around through the Scubas, Relaxed High Rise, who knows whatever else they were called, I was enveloped in warm softness, not the cold, mechanical workout stuff strewn about the mens section.
My question is if anyone knows if LLL ever comes out with better (for my needs) sweats for guys throughout the year; if I should just buy women's pants; or if I should just look elsewhere.
I want to love LLL, I really, truly do. I want to be a giant fan, and maybe if I was looking to look stylish on a run or on the subway to work (I don’t live in a city and I work from home) then I would probably love it, I just already have a closet’s worth of technical workout clothes and lightweight joggers and had hoped LLL would be the holy grail of men’s sweatpants. This only appears to be true for women. I realize all this makes me sound like the most entitled turd, and while I am, I have worked hard to be at a point where I can splurge on some new work from home outfits and left the store supremely disappointed.
tldr: I am a man baby who needs super soft, but also warm and cozy, near $200 sweatpants. Didn’t like LLL. Looking for recommendations.
Thanks for the help, thanks for listening, and I hope you all have a great weekend!
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2021.12.04 16:47 SocialMediaModelz Beautiful Model Sofia Isabella Newman Slim Thick Booty
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2021.12.04 16:47 LovelyLondonGirl24 Hottie
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2021.12.04 16:47 Fernando_357 Intento de estafa
Me acaban de llamar a mi teléfono personal para avisarme que me había ganado un premio solamente por utilizar mi tarjeta de crédito, obviamente suena a estafa por que según gané un viaje con vigencia pornun año a donde quiera de uno de varios destinos mientras yo pague solo el vuelo, lo que gané fue la estancia y un monedero electrónico por 5000 pesos.
Me dijeron que me tenia que presentar en parques polanco con mi ine y TC.
A alguien más le han intentado aplicar esto?
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2021.12.04 16:47 taj_tajima HG GTO Zaku II YPE C-6/R6 (1/144)
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2021.12.04 16:47 nowthtshot 1/3 Guava 2/3 Brain Matter =10/10
2021.12.04 16:47 towerofspirals 3 monet (very rich wealth y)
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2021.12.04 16:47 NEMOGD Nether fortress
I recently started another new world( because I died to the void in the previous one due to the game crashing) but I can’t find a fortress. Does anyone have any advice on how to find on?
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